Thursday, 14 May 2015

Round 3 Predictions: Chicago, Tampa Bay. I'm 11/12 so far.

Sad to see the Habs go, but I (and many others) predicted it. All of my picks were right this past round; the model very weakly picked Montreal, so it got one wrong. So far, the model and I have agreed on 8/12 series, of which we are 8/8; and we have disagreed on 4 series, of which I am 3/4.

Cumulative totals are:

Model Predictions: 9/12 (75%) = 6/8 (Rd. 1) + 3/4 (Rd. 2)
My Predictions: 11/12 (92%) = 7/8 (Rd. 1) + 4/4 (Rd. 2)

Here are the predictions for the next round (mine, needless to say, have not changed). The model and I now agree on a Chicago over Tampa Bay Stanley Cup Final.

Model Predictions:

Round 3:
Tampa Bay over New York Rangers (Pred[W pct] = 0.51)
Chicago over Anaheim (Pred[W pct] = 0.55)

Stanley Cup Final:
Chicago over Tampa Bay (Pred[W pct] = 0.56)

My Predictions:

Round 3:
Tampa Bay over New York Rangers in 6
Chicago over Anaheim in 7

Stanley Cup Final:
Chicago over Tampa Bay in 7

2 comments:

  1. Seems like you really know your hockey Matt! So happy to hear your predictions are doing well! Hopefully the next 3 predictions will be right, so you can improve to 14/15!

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